Wednesday, January 28, 2009

US to China

There are very few communist countries now. Russia is not looking to expand communism throughout the globe anymore and China is so knee-deep into capitalism that their people are more worried about getting flat screened TV’s vs fighting a neighbour for land. The Panama Canal is in the Chinese hands de facto. USA is still not finished with the choke it has with Iraq and Afghanistan and a fantasy war with Iran. China after leading in Olympics organised in its own soil is now in everybody’s eye central. USA is being weak, retreating from it own principle of freedom and stepping everyone foot all over the world trying to extablish world hegemony and the on-going financial recession is ruining it. What we hear from CNN or other channels, are just privatized US propaganda. The things that US has over China are stealth technology, a blue water navy, more tanks and aircraft, if not men and strong allies. Most of the world is still feel China is unreliable. In case of war anywhere in the world these two titans are sure to wrestle, in future. But who is going to come victorious is still a puzzle. There were 1.3 BILLION people in China in 2006. 450 MILLION were men between the ages of 15 and 64 years old. In 2003, there were a estimated 300 MILLION Americans. Put it another way...there were 50% more men in China between 15 and 64 years of age than there were total people in the US. Yet again, knowing that there was a estimated 90 million men in the US for 2007, it can be said that there were 5 times more men in China than in the US capable of fighting. China has no reason to fight the USA, but the USA has a reason to fight China. The US is by far the largest consumer of Chinese goods, and the largest provider of food to china. The US being removed from the equation means the booming economy of China fails, and you would also see mass starvation, and quite possibly an incredible upswing in government brutality and aggression towards its neighbors to meet its needs for resources. The population of china is divided between the urban and rural. The rural Chinese historically are the ones to revolt, and in the event of a large scale war would be the most called upon for military service (kind of like the Ukrainians were cannon fodder for the soviet union). The rural Chinese would see that they are growing the food, doing the fighting, and are still being left behind by the government and would rise up again as they have before. If it ever did come to a military conflict between the US and china and stayed conventional (nuclear is a no-win situation for all involved), the Americans have the upper hand. Look at our casualties vs other soviet equipped countries (Iraq). Granted the Chinese do have higher end equipment than the iraqis, but it still wouldn't be enough to make up for the vast technological advantages of the US. Plus in a war against a truly powerful nation like china, you'd see all the secret weaponry come out that the US has. 500 billion dollar a year budget has to buy some pretty cool toys. If the economy keeps developing in the same fashion as it is doing now, in 50 years, China will possibly be one of the financial strongest nations in the world. It has an immense economic growth, due to the large amount of money invested by foreign companies. Many companies are moving into China due to the production-costs being quite low. So I suppose China certainly could pose a risk to the USA current role in the world. 

4 comments:

Ujjwal Chand said...

Well, I am glad you said 50 years from now. US may be down now but it is still the strongest in terms of finances(economy) and military.And talking about war,it is already on.War of finances and innovations.You have also pointed out the advantages of China in population and low production costs.I would like to see China closer to India in terms of trade.If these two nations keep their bitter past behind and make some compromises, surely they can beat US and the financial pivot will change from US to Asia.I would be a very happy man when this happens.

yash said...

@ above
coexistence is a strong benefit.. if India and china start co-operating whole hearted.. but still I believe the trust level between these south Asian gaints is still weak.

shridhar said...

i truly agree to both of u dat if india and china cooperate they can beat us .moreover both of dese country have to potential to lead the world.....and yes dai if us is in recession so is china and bit impact of it is india so the dependency on us should be decreased and both the country should venture to africa for them to emerge as leaders as it is the nxt big thing in terms of oil, labour....

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